美国天然气价格在今年上半年大幅下跌了34%，亨利中心的天然气价格在6月份跌至2.18美元/百万英热单位
历史新高的产量、高库存和相对温和的冬季共同拖累了天然气价格下跌
据EIA预计，到今年12月，亨利中心的天然气价格将上涨至均价2.83美元/百万英热单位
据油价网2023年7月24日报道，受历史新高的产量、高库存和相对温和的冬季气温的拖累，今年上半年美国天然气价格大幅下跌了34%。
根据EIA周一援引Refinitiv Eikon发布的数据，1月至6月，美国天然气价格基准亨利中心的月平均现货天然气价格大幅下跌了34%，即下跌了1.12美元/百万英热单位，至2.18美元/百万英热单位。
EIA表示，经通胀调整后，今年的亨利中心天然气价格是自2020年6月以来的最低月度平均价格，并指出天然气价格在1月份达到平均3.30美元/百万英热单位后，在2月份开始下滑。
周一早些时候，亨利中心天然气月度价格小幅上涨0.18%，至2.716美元/百万英热单位。
今年1月至6月，由于美国部分地区气温较低，对空间供暖的需求减少，导致天然气消费量下降。
今年1月1日至4月30日期间，美国天然气消费量平均为每天1030亿立方英尺。根据EIA的天然气市场的月度概述，与去年同期相比，这一数字平均每天下降10亿立方英尺。住宅和商业部门的消费量下降幅度最大，今年1月和2月的总消费量同比下降18%和12%。今年第一季度与去年第一季度相比工业天然气消费量也下降了3%。
然而，由于西方冬季供暖需求增加，电力部门消耗的天然气比其他任何部门都多，在今年1月至3月期间，电力部门平均每天消耗307.8亿立方英尺天然气，同比增长8.4%。
EIA表示，由于今年迄今为止天然气产量超过需求，美国天然气价格面临下行压力。
李峻 译自 油价网
原文如下：
U.S. Natural Gas Prices Fell 34% In The First Half Of 2023
· U.S. natural gas prices fell by 34% in the first half of 2023, with Henry Hub falling to $2.18 per MMBtu in June.
· A combination of record production, high inventories, and a relatively mild winter was responsible for dragging prices lower.
· The EIA expects Henry Hub prices to rise through December 2023, averaging $2.83 per MMBtu through the end of 2023.
U.S. natural gas prices slumped by 34% in the first half of this year, dragged down by record production, high inventories, and relatively mild winter temperatures.
The average monthly spot natural gas price at the U.S. benchmark Henry Hub dipped by 34%, or by $1.12 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), to $2.18 per MMBtu between January and June, per data from Refinitiv Eikon cited by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Monday.
Adjusted for inflation, this year has seen the lowest average monthly Henry Hub price since June 2020, the administration said, noting that prices started slumping in February after averaging $3.30 per MMBtu in January.
Early on Monday, the monthly Henry Hub price was slightly up by 0.18% at $2.716 per MMBtu.
Reduced demand for space heating amid milder temperatures in some parts of the U.S. led to lower natural gas consumption between January and June 2023.
Total U.S. natural gas consumption averaged 103.0 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) between January 1 and April 30, 2023. This was down by 1.0 Bcf/d compared to the same period in 2022, according to EIA’s Natural Gas Monthly overview. The residential and commercial sectors led the decline, with combined consumption down 18% year-on-year in January and 12% in February 2023. Industrial natural gas consumption also dropped, by 3% in the first quarter of 2023 compared with the first quarter of 2022.
However, the electric power sector, which consumes more natural gas than any other sector, used a record-high average of 30.78 Bcf/d between January and March 2023, up by 8.4% year over year, due to increased winter heating demand in the West.
Prices have come under downward pressure as natural gas production has exceeded demand so far this year, the EIA said.
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