据油价网7月11日报道，欧佩克秘书长表示，到2045年，全球一次能源需求预计将激增23%，并补充道，这将需要所有资源来满足不断增长的需求。
据路透社报道，欧佩克秘书长在尼日利亚举行的一次石油会议上表示，“据预测到2045年，全球一次能源需求将大幅增长23%，这意味着我们需要各种形式的能源”。
石油将继续在未来的能源结构中发挥重要作用。到2045年，仅满足石油需求就需要高达12.1万亿美元的投资。但他补充道，该行业尚未走上达到这一投资水平的轨道。
上个月，他在马来西亚的一次演讲中表示，“在欧佩克的《世界石油展望》中，我们看到，到2045年，全球能源需求将增长23%，我认为，如果不利用所有可用的能源，并以能源市场稳定为指导，就没有可靠的方法来解决这个问题”。
天然气、水电、核能、氢和生物质能需求和利用空间也将不断扩大，但很明显，石油仍将是其中不可或缺的一部分。
欧佩克预测到2045年，全球石油需求将上升到1.1亿桶/天，到2045年，石油仍将占能源结构的29%。他指出，从现在到2045年，仅石油行业的投资每年就需要达到5000亿美元，到2045年累计达到12.1万亿美元。
他曾在6月底表示，所有行业决策者和利益相关者都需要共同努力，确保长期的投资友好环境，并提供充足的资金，形成一个对生产者和消费者，以及发达国家和发展中国家都有效的机制。
郝芬 译自 油价网
原文如下:
OPEC Expects Global Energy Demand To Jump By 23% By 2045
Global primary energy demand is expected to surge by 23% by 2045, OPEC’s Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said on Tuesday, adding that all sources will be needed to meet that growing demand.
“Global primary energy demand is forecast to increase by a significant 23% in the period up to 2045, which means we will need all forms of energy,” Al Ghais said at a petroleum conference in Nigeria, as carried by Reuters.
Oil will continue to play an important role in the future of the energy mix, OPEC and its secretary general have said in recent months. Meeting oil demand alone would need as much as $12.1 trillion in investments in the industry by 2045, Al Ghais said. But the industry is not on track to reach this level of investments yet, he added.
During a speech in Malaysia last month, OPEC’s secretary general said that “In OPEC’s World Oil Outlook (WOO), we see global energy demand increasing by 23% through 2045, and I see no credible way to address this without utilizing all available energy sources, and with energy market stability as a guiding light.”
“Gas, hydro, nuclear, hydrogen and biomass will also expand, BUT, it is clear that oil will remain an integral part of the mix,” Al Ghais added.
OPEC’s outlook to 2045 sees global oil demand rising to 110 million barrels per day (bpd) by then, and oil would still represent about 29% of the energy mix in 2045.
Investments in the oil industry alone need to be $500 billion each year between now and 2045, for a cumulative $12.1 trillion through 2045, Al Ghais noted.
“All industry policymakers and stakeholders need to work together to ensure a long-term investment-friendly climate, with sufficient finance available. One that works for producers and consumers, as well as developed and developing countries,” Al Ghais said at the end of June.
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