去年欧佩克成员国原油净出口总收入达到8880亿美元

据钻井地带网站2023年6月30日报道，去年欧佩克成员国的原油净出口总收入达到8880亿美元。

这是EIA在其最新的欧佩克收入情况介绍中估计的，该报告于6月更新。

在情况介绍中，EIA指出，欧佩克成员国去年的原油净出口收入与前一年相比增加了近43%，“当时欧佩克成员国原油净石油出口总收入估计为6220亿美元”。

EIA在情况介绍中表示：“去年该组织成员国原油净出口总收入的增加主要归因于原油价格上涨，在较小程度上归因于石油液体产量的增加。”

EIA在情况介绍中概述称欧佩克去年原油日总产量增加到近3420万桶，同比日增250万桶。

根据情况介绍，去年沙特阿拉伯的原油净出口收入为3110亿美元，是欧佩克成员国中最高的。伊拉克以1310亿美元排名第二，阿联酋以1190亿美元排名第三，科威特以980亿美元排名第四。

EIA的情况介绍强调，沙特阿拉伯在2021年的原油净出口收入也最高，达到2060亿美元，伊拉克以920亿美元排名第二，阿联酋以820亿美元排名第三，科威特以680亿美元排名第四，伊朗以400亿美元排名第五。

展望2023年，情况介绍预计欧佩克成员国原油净出口收入将降至6560亿美元。

EIA在情况介绍中表示：“这一下降是由于欧佩克+减产协议延长导致欧佩克原油产量下降，以及原油价格下跌。”

EIA补充称：“我们预计，今年欧佩克的液体石油日总产量将降至3350万桶，而布伦特原油现货平均价格将从去年的每桶101美元降至每桶80美元。”

EIA预计，欧佩克成员国明年原油净出口总收入将继续增加。

EIA在情况介绍中表示：“根据今年6月发布的《短期能源展望》（STEO）报告，预计今年欧佩克的原油产量将增加，预计欧佩克原油净出口总收入将增至6820亿美元。”

EIA补充说：“我们预测明年全球原油价格将上涨，反映出全球原油库存将在未来5个季度中的每个季度下降。”

根据情况概述，2023年和2024年，原油净出口收入排名前5位的欧佩克成员国将保持与2022年和2021年相同，尽管确切数字将发生变化。

情况介绍认为今明两年沙特阿拉伯的原油净出口收入将在2150亿美元和2230亿美元，伊拉克的原油净出口收入将在960亿美元和1030亿美元，阿联酋的原油净出口收入将在910亿美元和920亿美元，科威特的原油净出口收入将在740亿美元和770亿美元。

在6月份发布的最新STEO报告中，EIA预计今年欧佩克成员国的原油和其他液体日产量将达到3351万桶，在2024年将达到3384万桶。报告显示，去年欧佩克成员国的原油和其他液体日产量为3417万桶。

根据EIA最新STEO报告预测，今年布伦特原油现货平均价格将为每桶79.54美元，2024年将为每桶83.51美元，今年WTI现货平均价格将为每桶74.60美元，2024年将为每桶78.51美元。EIA最新的STEO报告强调，去年布伦特原油现货平均价格为每桶100.94美元，WTI现货平均价格为每桶94.91美元。

在5月份发布的上一份STEO报告中，EIA预测今年欧佩克的原油和其他液体日产量将达到3376万桶，2024年将达到3445万桶。在该STEO报告中，EIA预测今年布伦特原油现货平均价格将为每桶78.65美元，2024年将为每桶74.47美元；今年WTI现货平均价格将为每桶73.62美元，明年将为每桶69.47美元。

李峻 译自 钻井地带 网站

原文如下：

What Was OPEC's Net Oil Export Revenue in 2022?

OPEC members earned about $888 billion in net oil export revenue last year.

That’s what the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates in its latest OPEC Revenues Fact Sheet, which was last updated this month.

In the fact sheet, the EIA noted that OPEC’s 2022 net revenue rose nearly 43 percent compared with the previous year, “when OPEC net oil export revenue totaled an estimated $622 billion (real $)”.

“The increase in net export revenue in 2022 is mostly attributable to higher crude oil prices, and to a lesser degree to higher petroleum liquids production,” the EIA said in the fact sheet.

OPEC total oil output rose to nearly 34.2 million barrels per day in 2022 and increased by 2.5 million barrels per day year on year, the EIA outlined in the fact sheet.

According to the sheet, Saudi Arabia had the highest net oil export revenue among OPEC members last year at $311 billion. The fact sheet placed Iraq in second, with $131 billion, the United Arab Emirates in third, with $119 billion, Kuwait in fourth, with $98 billion, and Iran in fifth, with $54 billion.

The EIA fact sheet highlighted that Saudi Arabia also had the highest net oil export revenue in 2021 at $206 billion. Iraq was second, with $92 billion, the UAE was third, with $82 billion, Kuwait was fourth, with $68 billion, and Iran was fifth, with $40 billion, in 2021, the fact sheet outlined.

Looking at 2023, the fact sheet projected that OPEC net oil export revenue will fall to $656 billion.

“This decrease is attributable to lower OPEC production as a result of the extension of the OPEC+ agreement, along with a decrease in crude oil prices,” the EIA stated in the fact sheet.  

“We expect OPEC total oil liquids production to decrease to 33.5 million barrels per day in 2023, while the forecast Brent spot price will fall from $101 per barrel in 2022 to $80 per barrel,” the EIA added.

The organization projected that OPEC net oil export revenue will go on to increase in 2024.

“In tandem with a forecast increase in OPEC output in 2024, based on the June 2023 STEO, we expect that OPEC net export revenue will rise to $682 billion (real $),” the EIA stated in the sheet.

“We forecast that global crude oil prices will increase in 2024, reflecting global oil inventories that will decrease in each of the next five quarters,” the EIA added.

According to the fact sheet, the top five OPEC countries in terms of net oil export revenue will remain the same as 2022 and 2021 in both 2023 and 2024, although the exact figures will alter.

The fact sheet sees Saudi Arabia’s net oil export revenue coming in at $215 billion in 2023 and $223 billion in 2024, Iraq’s net oil export revenue at $96 billion in 2023 and $103 billion in 2024, the UAE’s net oil export revenue at $91 billion in 2023 and $92 billion in 2024, Kuwait’s net oil export revenue at $74 billion in 2023 and $77 billion in 2024, and Iran’s net oil export revenue at $44 billion this year and $48 billion next year.

In its latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released in June, the EIA projects that OPEC production of petroleum and other liquids will be 33.51 million barrels per day in 2023 and 33.84 million barrels per day in 2024. OPEC production of petroleum and other liquids was 34.17 million barrels per day in 2022, the report revealed.

The EIA’s latest STEO sees the Brent spot price averaging $79.54 per barrel this year and $83.51 per barrel in 2024 and the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) spot price averaging $74.60 per barrel in 2023 and $78.51 per barrel in 2024. The Brent spot price averaged $100.94 per barrel and the WTI spot price averaged $94.91 per barrel las year, the EIA’s latest STEO highlighted.

In its previous STEO, which was released in May, the EIA projected that OPEC production of petroleum and other liquids would be 33.76 million barrels per day in 2023 and 34.45 million barrels per day in 2024. In that STEO, the EIA projected that the Brent spot price would average $78.65 per barrel in 2023 and $74.47 per barrel in 2024 and that the WTI spot price would average $73.62 per barrel this year and $69.47 per barrel next year.