病例激增 IEA发布石油需求预测下调10万桶/天

   2021-12-20 互联网综合消息

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核心提示:据阿纳多卢新闻12月16日消息称,由于病例激增,国际能源机构(IEA)将其对2021年和2022年全球石油需求的预测

据阿纳多卢新闻12月16日消息称,由于病例激增,国际能源机构(IEA)将其对2021年和2022年全球石油需求的预测较上月下调了约10万桶/天。

根据国际能源署周二发布的石油市场报告,2021年全球石油需求将增加540万桶至9620万桶,到2022年将再增加330万桶,届时全球石油需求将恢复到大流行前的水平,即9950万桶/天。

该机构将其修订归因于为阻止病毒传播而采取的新遏制措施,预计这些措施将对航空旅行和喷气燃料消耗产生直接影响。

该机构说:“新冠肺炎病例的激增预计将减缓但不会破坏正在进行的石油需求复苏。2021年第四季度全球石油需求将增加近100万桶/天,至9860万桶/天,然后在2022年第一季度减少74万桶/天。”

国际能源署表示,11月全球石油供应增加97万桶,至9837万桶/天,主要是美国、加拿大、沙特阿拉伯和伊拉克的产量增加,正在缩小需求缺口。

该机构称,11月全球原油日供应量也较上年同期增加近200万桶。

11月,欧佩克原油产量达到2775万桶/天,比上月增加了31万桶/天。

非欧佩克产油量也增加了66万桶,达到6541万桶/天。

朱佳妮 摘译自 阿纳多卢新闻

原文如下:

Int. Energy Agency oil demand forecast down due to surge in COVID-19 cases

The International Energy Agency (IEA) revised down its global oil demand estimates for 2021 and 2022 by around 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) compared to last month's assessment due to the new surge in COVID-19 cases.

Global oil demand is now set to rise by 5.4 million bpd to 96.2 million bpd in 2021 and a further 3.3 million bpd in 2022, when it returns to pre-pandemic levels at 99.5 million bpd, according to the IEA's oil market report on Tuesday.

The agency attributed its revision to the new containment measures put in place to halt the spread of the virus, which are projected to have an immediate impact on air travel and jet fuel consumption.

'A new surge in COVID-19 cases is expected to slow, but not derail, the recovery in oil demand that is underway. World oil demand is on track to rise by nearly 1 million bpd in 4Q21 to 98.6 million bpd before falling seasonally by 740,000 bpd in 1Q22,' the agency said.

The IEA said global oil supply increased by 970,000 bpd in November to 98.37 million bpd, led by production increases from the US, Canada, Saudi Arabia and Iraq, which was closing the gap in demand.

World supply in November was also up by nearly 2 million bpd year on year, the agency said.

OPEC crude oil production reached 27.75 million bpd in November, recording an increase of 310,000 bpd compared to the previous month.

Non-OPEC production also saw an increase of 660,000 bpd to 65.41 million bpd.




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