据世界石油6月25日消息称，全球石油市场要求大幅增加供应，但预计欧佩克+只能提供消费者需求的一小部分。
随着需求从疫情的低迷中反弹，国际原油价格飙升至每桶 75 美元以上的两年高位随着有关油价回归每桶100美元的传言和对 通胀的担忧加剧，国际能源署敦促欧佩克及其合作伙伴填补供应短缺。
彭博社的一项调查显示，以沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯为首的联盟在下周举行会议时，人们普遍预计将恢复更多暂停的石油产量，该组织的代表表示，讨论已经在进行中。
然而，由于沙特政府决心谨慎行事，市场观察人士预计，任何增加都会让市场想要更多。
研究公司Enverus的主管Bill Farren-Price说：“这个市场很火。沙特似乎并不倾向于暗示大幅增加供应。但即使欧佩克+增加了石油产量，油价也将保持强劲。”
欧佩克今年才逐渐恢复生产。
这个由23个国家组成的联盟已恢复了约40%的日产量，该联盟去年因需求暴跌而停产的日产量接近1000万桶。各国部长将于7月 1日召开会议，评估下一步行动。
沙特阿拉伯能源部长Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman周三表示，他保持谨慎立场，但不排除采取行动的可能。他承认欧佩克+在 “驯服和遏制”通货膨胀方面发挥着作用。
市场观察人士普遍预计，随着8月份额外供应进入市场，下周将达成某种形式的上调。在彭博新闻社进行的一项全球调查中， 15名分析师、交易员和炼油商中，除了两人以外，所有人都预计，该联盟将利用其庞大的闲置产能。
然而，他们对8月原油日产量的平均预估增幅约为51万桶，仅为欧佩克+当月预估全球供应缺口的四分之一。
朱佳妮 摘译自 世界石油
原文如下：
OPEC’s output plans expected to leave oil markets wanting more
The global oil market is calling out for a substantial increase in supplies, but OPEC+ is expected to provide only a fraction of what consumers are demanding.
International crude prices have soared to a two-year high above $75 a barrel as demand bounces back from the pandemic slump. With talk swirling of a return to $100 oil and fears over inflation mounting, the International Energy Agency is urging the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners to fill a supply shortfall.
When it meets next week, the alliance led by Saudi Arabia and Russia is widely expected to revive some more of its halted output, according to a Bloomberg survey, and delegates from the group say discussions are already underway.
Yet with Riyadh determined to proceed cautiously, market watchers expect any increase to leave the market wanting more.
“This market’s on fire,” said Bill Farren-Price, a director at research firm Enverus. “The Saudis don’t seem inclined to signal a substantial increase in supplies. But even if OPEC+ adds barrels, prices are going to stay strong.”
OPEC has only gradually revived production this year.
The 23-nation alliance has restored roughly 40% of the almost 10 million barrels of daily production it shuttered when demand collapsed last year. Ministers will gather on July 1 to assess the next step.
Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said on Wednesday that he maintains a cautious stance, but doesn’t rule out action. He acknowledged that OPEC+ has a role in “taming and containing” inflation.
Market observers widely expect that a hike of some kind will be agreed next week, with the extra supply hitting the market in August. All but two of 15 analysts, traders and refiners in a global survey by Bloomberg News predicted that the coalition will tap its sizable spare production capacity.
Yet the average increase they forecast for August was about 510,000 barrels a day -- barely a quarter of the global supply deficit that OPEC+ itself anticipates during that month.?
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