EIA: 2020年全球石油消费量下降9%

   2021-02-03 互联网讯

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核心提示:     据今日油价2月1日消息称,美国能源信息署(EIA)周五表示,由于冠状病毒的限制和封锁,到2020年,

     据今日油价2月1日消息称,美国能源信息署(EIA)周五表示,由于冠状病毒的限制和封锁,到2020年,全球石油和其他液体燃料的消耗量下降了9%,至每天9220万桶,这是自1980年以来的最大降幅。

    今年,全球消费者行为将恢复到更加正常的水平,随着时间的推移,经济的持续复苏将有助于2021年石油消费的增长。EIA在其1月短期能源展望中预计,今年全球液体燃料消费量将增加560万桶/天,较2020年增长6%,2022年将再增加330万桶/天。

    EIA预测,2021年,美国的石油消费量将增加140万桶/天。

    今年的石油消费将会上升,这要归功于经济增长和到年中恢复到更正常的旅行模式,这也将对2022年的石油消费增长产生较小的影响。

    尽管2021年全球石油消费预计将增长,但EIA仍预计其平均水平将低于疫情前的水平,为9780万桶/天,比2019年的水平低3%。

    欧佩克还认为,由于2020年的石油危机,今年的石油需求将有所增长。然而,预计2021年石油消费量为9590万桶/天,从2019年起,石油消费量仍将比危机前水平低近500万桶/天。

    欧佩克表示:“预计石油需求不会从2020年的低迷中完全恢复,” 该组织预计,2020年石油需求将减少980万桶,至平均每日9000万桶。

    国际能源署(IEA)则在1月份的报告中,将今年石油日需求增长预估下调30万桶,至550万桶。

    曹海斌 摘译自 今日油价

    原文如下:

    EIA: Global Oil Consumption Crashed By 9% In 2020

    Due to the coronavirus restrictions and lockdowns, global consumption of petroleum and other liquid fuels crashed by 9 percent to 92.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2020, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Friday, nothing this was the largest drop in EIA’s series dating back to 1980.

    The world will return to more normal consumer behavior this year, and a continued recovery in economies is set to contribute to rising oil consumption in 2021 as the year progresses. EIA expects in its January Short-Term Energy Outlook that global liquid fuels consumption will grow by 5.6 million bpd this year, or by 6 percent compared to 2020, and rise by another 3.3 million bpd in 2022.

    The United States will contribute with a 1.4 million bpd consumption increase to the growth in 2021, the EIA forecasts.

    Oil consumption will rise this year thanks to both economic growth and a return to more normal travel patterns by the middle of the year, which will also have a small effect on oil consumption growth in 2022.

    Despite the expected growth in global oil consumption in 2021, EIA still forecasts it to average below pre-pandemic levels—at 97.8 million bpd, it would be 3 percent less than the 2019 level.

    OPEC also sees oil demand growing this year from the crash in 2020. Yet, at an expected 95.9 million bpd in 2021, oil consumption would still be nearly 5 million bpd below the pre-crisis levels from 2019.

    “Oil demand is not projected to fully recover from the 2020 slump,” said OPEC, which estimates 2020 demand to have crashed by 9.8 million bpd to average 90 million bpd.

    The International Energy Agency (IEA), for its part, cut in its January report its estimate for oil demand growth for this year by 300,000 bpd to 5.5 million bpd.

 
 
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