据今日油价2月3日报道，欧佩克联合技术委员会(JTC)周二通过视频会议表示，预计今年全球石油需求将增长560万桶/天，低于此前增长590万桶/天的预期。JTC报告称，2020年的平均需求估计为9000万桶/天，2021年需求增长预估与去年12月持平，但警告称，疫情将导致向下行风险倾斜。
关于石油生产，JTC小组发现，12月份所有欧佩克+成员国的石油生产总量超过配额7.2万桶。欧佩克+产油国在2020年12月的减产协议遵守率为99%，低于11月的101%。
欧佩克秘书长穆罕默德·巴尔金多(Mohammad Barkindo)在JTC会议开幕式上表示，全球石油市场和世界经济的前景正在改善，全球经济在去年萎缩4.1%后，预计今年将增长4.4%。
巴尔金多表示:“随着原油市场目前转向现货溢价，我们希望2021年将是总体需求良好的一年。”
王佳晶 摘译自 今日油价
原文如下：
OPEC+ Now Sees Weaker Oil Demand Growth For 2021
OPEC+ expects global oil demand to rise by 5.6 million barrels per day (bpd) this year—lower estimated growth than OPEC’s assessment of 5.9-million-bpd demand increase from less than three weeks ago, according to the group’s Joint Technical Committee (JTC), which met via videoconference on Tuesday.
Last year, oil demand is estimated to have crashed by 9.72 million bpd, Amena Bakr, Deputy Bureau Chief and Chief Opec Correspondent at Energy Intelligence, tweeted quoting the JTC’s assessment, which also notes that this year, global oil demand is forecast to rise by 5.60 million bpd compared to 2020.
Less than three weeks ago, OPEC said it expected demand to rise by 5.9 million bpd in 2021 from an estimated average demand of 90 million bpd in 2020, leaving its 2021 demand growth forecast unchanged from December but warning that the pandemic was still skewing risks to the downside.
Regarding oil production, the JTC panel found that total oil production from all OPEC+ members exceeded the required quotas by 72,000 bpd in December, Bakr tweeted.
Sources at the OPEC+ group told Reuters last week that the producers part of the OPEC+ alliance complied with the oil output cuts at 99 percent in December 2020, down from 101 percent compliance in November.
Opening the JTC meeting today, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo said the prospects for the global oil market and the world economy were improving, with global economy expected to grow by 4.4 percent this year, after a 4.1-percent contraction last year.
“With the crude oil market currently switching into backwardation, we are hopeful that 2021 will be a good year for overall demand,” Barkindo said.
