高盛:石油需求猛增 油价今夏将触及80美元

   2021-04-30 互联网讯

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核心提示:   据油价网4月29日消息,高盛集团周三表示,预计未来6个月全球石油需求将实现有史以来最大的增幅,并继

   据油价网4月29日消息,高盛集团周三表示,预计未来6个月全球石油需求将实现有史以来最大的增幅,并继续维持其对今夏油价的乐观预期。

  路透社援引高盛预期,在其客户报告中称,欧洲对旅游的需求增加,以及加速接种疫苗,将导致"未来六个月石油需求实现最大增幅,每日增加520万桶。"

  高盛预计今年夏天油价将升至每桶80美元,并表示,“决不能低估需求量即将发生的变化——这种变化是供应无法比拟的”,正如FXStreet所言。

  本月初, 高盛还发布了看涨消息,称预计需求强劲,这将要求欧佩克+在第三季度每天向市场再注入200万桶,而此前欧佩克+决定在5-7月之间增加200万桶/日。

  4月初,该投资银行预计,到2021年秋季,过剩的石油库存将恢复正常。

  4月底,高盛继续预测今年需求将大幅反弹,尽管印度新冠病例激增,这在一定程度上给需求前景蒙上了阴影。

  高盛集团今天表示:“大宗商品市场已经观察到印度新冠病例的急剧上升。”

  3月初,该行预计布伦特原油价格将在今年第三季度达到每桶80美元,比两周前发布的预测高出5美元。

  即使在油价在3月中旬遭遇抛售之后,高盛仍表示,这一“喘息期”是石油的买入机会,并继续预测布伦特原油价格将在夏季触及每桶80美元。

  裘寅 编译自 油价网

  原文如下:

  Goldman: Oil To Hit $80 On Largest Ever Demand Jump

  Goldman Sachs expects global oil demand to realize the biggest jump ever over the next six months, the investment bank said on Wednesday, keeping its bullish forecasts for oil prices this summer.

  Higher demand for travel and acceleration of vaccinations in Europe are set to result in “the biggest jump in oil demand ever, a 5.2 million barrels per day (bpd) rise over the next six months,” Reuters quoted Goldman Sachs as saying in a note to clients.

  Goldman Sachs continues to see oil rising to $80 per barrel this summer and says that “The magnitude of the coming change in the volume of demand -- a change which supply cannot match -- must not be understated,” as carried by FXStreet.

  At the beginning of this month, Goldman also issued a bullish note, saying that it anticipated strong demand that would require OPEC+ putting another 2 million barrels per day (bpd) on the market in the third quarter, after the around 2 million bpd that the alliance and Saudi Arabia decided to return between May and July.

  In early April, the investment bank expected excess oil inventories to normalize by the fall of 2021.

  At the end of April, Goldman Sachs continues to forecast a large demand rebound this year, despite the soaring COVID cases in India, which have somewhat clouded the demand outlook.

  “Commodity markets have looked through the sharp rise in Covid-19 cases in India,” Goldman Sachs said today.

  At the beginning of March, the bank expected Brent Crude prices to hit $80 a barrel in the third quarter this year, up by $5 compared to the previous forecast issued two weeks earlier.

  Even after the sell-off in oil in mid-March, Goldman said that the “big breather” was a buying opportunity for oil and continued to forecast Brent hitting $80 per barrel in the summer.



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