INES:德国未来数年将面临天然气短缺风险

   2023-08-14 互联网综合消息

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核心提示:INES认为,除非德国采取措施增加液化天然气终端,否则未来几年德国将面临天然气短缺的风险该组织认为,德国

INES认为,除非德国采取措施增加液化天然气终端,否则未来几年德国将面临天然气短缺的风险

该组织认为,德国还需要更多的存储容量或增加管道连接,以提高能源安全

尽管德国迄今避免了去年出现的价格大幅飙升,但结构性需求下降仍需数年时间

据油价网8月10日报道,德国天然气储存运营商集团INES在周四发布的8月份天然气更新报告中表示,除非采取措施增加液化天然气终端、额外的天然气储存能力或管道,否则到2026/2027年冬季以前德国将继续面临天然气短缺的风险。

INES的负责人Sebastian Bleschke在一份声明中表示,如果没有进一步的基础设施措施实行,低温下天然气短缺的风险仍然存在,并且可能会持续到2026/2027年冬季。

他补充道,该组织预计,天然气消耗的结构性下降不早于2026/2027年出现。

德国不仅应该考虑增加液化天然气终端,还应该考虑增加天然气储存能力或管道连接,以提高其供应安全。Bleschke表示,在即将到来的冬天和接下来的冬天,德国肯定需要液化天然气终端。

本周早些时候,德国最大的公用事业公司之一E.ON警告称,尽管能源市场明显平静,天然气批发价格也大幅下降,但如果供应突然短缺的同时气温低于正常水平,欧洲今年冬天仍可能面临价格飙升。

该公司首席执行官伯恩鲍姆在接受彭博电视台采访时表示,我们必须清楚,由于地缘政治冲突以及对欧洲天然气供应的减少而导致的结构性变化将持续下去,因此危机还没有结束。

与去年相比,E.ON集团对今年和即将到来的冬季更为乐观,并报告称,与受到“能源行业环境不利影响”的2022年上半年相比,2023年上半年调整后的核心收益增长了40%。

他强调推进能源转型重要性表示,“在经历了长时间的危机之后,我们感觉到我们业务面临的不利因素正在减少。我们看到我们的市场日益复苏”。

郝芬 译自 油价网

原文如下:

Germany At Risk Of Natural Gas Shortages For Years To Come

*INES believes Germany will be at risk of natural gas shortages for years to come unless it takes measures to add LNG terminals.

*The group believes Germany also needs more storage capacity or to increase its pipeline connections to boost energy security.

*While Germany has so far avoided the significant price spikes seen last year, structurally lower demand remains years away.

Germany will continue to be at risk of natural gas shortages until the 2026/2027 winter season unless it takes measures to add LNG terminals, additional gas storage capacity, or pipelines, INES, the group of German gas storage operators, said in its August gas update on Thursday.

“Without further infrastructure measures, the risk of a gas shortage in cold temperatures still exists and will probably continue to accompany us until the 2026/27 winter,” INES’s head Sebastian Bleschke said in a statement.

The group expects structurally lower gas consumption to manifest itself no earlier than 2026/27, he added.

Germany should consider not only additional LNG terminals but also additional gas storage capacities or pipeline connections to boost its supply security. Germany will certainly need LNG terminals for the coming winter and the following winter, Bleschke said.

Earlier this week, one of Germany’s top utility firms, E.ON, warned that Europe could still face price spikes this winter if a sudden shortage of supply coincides with colder-than-normal temperatures, despite significantly calmer energy markets and much lower wholesale natural gas prices.

“We have to be clear that the structural change due to the conflicts and the drop out of gas in the supply of Europe is going to stay and therefore the crisis is not over,” CEO Leonhard Birnbaum told Bloomberg Television in an interview.

E.ON is more optimistic about this year and the coming winter compared to last year, and reported adjusted core earnings up by 40% in the first half of 2023 compared to the first half of 2022, which was “adversely impacted by the energy-industry environment.”

“After a long period of crisis, we sense that the headwinds for our business are diminishing. We see our markets increasingly recover,” Birnbaum said, stressing the importance of advancing the energy transition.  



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