据今日石油网2023年8月7日报道，全球6家大型石油公司——埃克森美孚公司、英国石油公司、壳牌公司、道达尔能源公司、埃尼公司和雪佛龙公司——准备在今年的全球勘探活动中发挥重要作用。根据挪威著名能源研究和商业情报公司睿咨得能源公司（Rystad）的行业预测，这些主要参与者预计在今年将总共花费大约70亿美元用于勘探活动，与去年相比显著增加10%。
全球油气勘探活动预计将在今年下半年获得动力，计划在各个地区钻探至关重要的勘探井。Rystad在一份新报告中表示，由于勘探活动转向海上领域，并更多地关注前沿地区，大型石油公司在勘探这些未充分开发或未开发地区方面发挥了主导作用。众所周知，这些地区拥有技术上有前景但尚未钻探的远景构造，为大型石油公司提供了诱人的机会。
预测显示，未来几个月，这些大型石油公司的勘探支出将占全球总勘探支出的14%左右，这突显了它们在石油行业中的相对重要性。虽然大型石油公司发挥着关键作用，但国家石油公司（NoCs）拥有最广泛的地下资源基础。今年，超过一半的预计勘探支出将来自国家石油公司和拥有国际投资组合的国家石油公司(INOC)。
Rystad表示，尽管进行了大量投资和勘探活动，但勘探工作的成功尚未完全实现。到目前为止，只有30%的预期井已经完钻，剩下的大部分勘探活动仍在进行中。在剩下的56口勘探井中，今年已经开钻或预计将开钻的只有23口勘探井。这表明，大约60%的勘探井很可能被开钻或被推迟到2024年开钻。
专家们仍然乐观地认为，即使今年取得有限的成功，明年全球油气勘探活动也有可能反弹。正在进行的勘探作业和剩余的计划井突出了勘探活动的规模，为未来的潜在成功铺平了道路。
李峻 译自 今日石油网
原文如下：
Six big oil companies to dole out US$7B on exploration in 2023, 14% of total global spend
Six major oil companies – ExxonMobil, bp, Shell, TotalEnergies, Eni, and Chevron – are poised to play a significant role in global exploration activities this year. According to industry forecasts by Rystad Energy, these major players are expected to collectively spend approximately US$7 billion on exploration in 2023, marking a notable 10% increase compared to the previous year.
Exploration activity is projected to gain momentum in the second half of 2023, with plans to drill crucial exploration wells in various regions. As exploration shifts towards the offshore sector and focuses more on frontier regions, the majors have taken a leading role in exploring these underexplored or virgin areas, Rystad Energy said in a new report. Such regions are known to harbour technically prospective yet-to-be-drilled prospects, presenting attractive opportunities for major oil companies.
Forecasts suggest that these companies will contribute about 14% of the total global exploration spending in the coming months, underscoring their relative significance in the industry. While the major oil companies play a critical role, national oil companies (NOCs) hold the most extensive subsurface resource base at their disposal. In 2023, over half of the projected exploration spending will come from NOCs and NOCs with international portfolios (INOC).
Despite the substantial investment and exploration activities, success in the exploration endeavours is yet to be fully realised, according to Rystad Energy. So far, only 30% of the anticipated wells have been completed, leaving a significant portion of exploration activities still underway. Out of the remaining 56 exploration wells, only 23 have been drilled or are expected to be drilled this year. This indicates that about 60% of the exploration wells are likely to be drilled or postponed until 2024.
“Experts remain optimistic that even if 2023 experiences limited success, the potential for a rebound in exploration activities exists for the following year. The ongoing exploration efforts and remaining planned wells highlight the magnitude of the exploration activity yet to come, paving the way for potential successes in the future,” the report said.
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