据油价网7月6日报道， 埃克森美孚预计今年第一季度的利润将比去年同期和上一季度大幅下降，原因是美国基准天然气价格低迷和行业利润率下降。
今年第一季度，埃克森美孚创下了第一季度历史最高利润达到114亿美元，比2022年第一季度的54.8亿美元翻了一番，但较2022年第四季度的127.5亿美元有所下降。第一季度的每股收益为2.79美元，超过了《华尔街日报》的共识预估2.60美元。
根据周三提交给美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的文件，这家美国超级石油公司预计，由于低于预期的美国基准天然气价格，上游部门的利润将下降约22亿美元，能源产品部门的利润也将下降约22亿美元，原因是行业利润率降低。
总体而言，埃克森美孚预计第二季度的利润约为78亿美元，较第一季度的114亿美元大幅下降，与2022年第二季度的178.5亿美元相比更是急剧下滑，当时地缘政治冲突导致石油和天然气价格飙升。
埃克森美孚指出，提交给SEC的“2023年第二季度利润考虑因素”文件“并非全面涵盖2023年第一季度与第二季度结果的所有变化，也不是对公司2023年第二季度利润的估计”。
尽管如此，当前的石油价格在70美元左右，而2022年春季曾一度飙升至100美元以上，而美国的天然气价格在当年二季度的大部分时间都持续处于两年低点。
《华尔街日报》的分析师都预计，埃克森美孚第二季度每股收益为2.28美元。埃克森美孚在过去四个季度中每次都超过了分析师的盈利预期，并将于7月28日发布第二季度的财报。
胡耀东 译自 油价网
原文如下：
Exxon Flags Falling Profit Amid Low Natural Gas Prices And Refining Margins
ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) expects to book sharply lower second-quarter earnings compared to the same period last year and to the first quarter, due to low natural gas prices and lower refining margins.
For the first quarter this year, Exxon booked record earnings for a first quarter of $11.4 billion, double from the $5.48 billion for the first quarter of 2022 and down from $12.75 billion for the fourth quarter of 2022. The per-share earnings of $2.79 for the first quarter of 2023 beat The Wall Street Journal consensus estimate of $2.60.
In an SEC filing on Wednesday, the U.S. supermajor estimates that its second-quarter earnings would be lower than the $11.4-billion profit for Q1, due to up to $2.2 billion lower earnings in the upstream division because of low U.S. benchmark natural gas prices, and another up to $2.2 billion decline in the energy products division, due to lower industry margins.
Overall, Exxon’s second-quarter earnings are expected at around $7.8 billion, a sharp drop from $11.4 billion for Q1, and an even steeper slump compared to the $17.85 billion earnings for the second quarter of 2022, when oil and natural gas prices soared after the war.
Exxon noted that the 2Q23 Earnings Considerations filing with SEC “is not comprehensive of all changes between 1Q 2023 and 2Q 2023 results and is not an estimate of 2Q 2023 earnings for the Corporation.”
Still, oil prices are now in the mid-$70s, compared to spikes to above $100 per barrel in the spring of 2022, while natural gas prices in the United States have hovered around two-year lows for a large part of the second quarter.
The analyst consensus in The Wall Street Journal expects Exxon’s second-quarter earnings per share at $2.28. Exxon, which has beaten analysts’ earnings estimates in each of the past four quarters, reports Q2 earnings on July 28.
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