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欧佩克+指出油价波动对当前石油市场的不利影响

   2022-09-08 互联网综合消息660
核心提示:据美国钻井网站2022年9月6日报道,在9月5日举行的最新一次欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议上,欧佩克概述了油价

据美国钻井网站2022年9月6日报道,在9月5日举行的最新一次欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议上,欧佩克概述了油价波动和流动性下降对当前石油市场的不利影响,以及指出支持市场稳定和有效运作的必要性。

根据会议结束后欧佩克网站上发布的一份声明,会议指出,更高的波动性和不断增加的不确定性需要对市场状况进行持续评估,并随时准备在必要时以不同形式对产量进行即时调整。 

欧佩克在声明中表示:“欧佩克+在合作宣言的现有机制内具有承诺、灵活性和手段,以应对这些挑战,并为市场提供指导。”

在9月5日的会议上,欧佩克+决定今年10月份的原油产量恢复到今年8月份的产量水平,并指出,向原油日产量水平向上调整10万桶的计划只针对今年9月份。欧佩克+还决定,如果有必要,请欧佩克+主席考虑召开欧佩克+会议,以应对市场变化,并在10月5日举行第33次欧佩克和非欧佩克部长级会议。  

根据欧佩克网站上公布的产量表,沙特阿拉伯等10月份“被要求的产量”并列最高,为每天1100.4万桶。 

9月5日,在欧佩克+最近一次会议之前,美国银行全球研究中心向美国钻井网站提交了一份报告,强调了避免实施减产的强大的政治、经济、战略和财务理由。

美国银行全球研究中心在报告中说:“由于欧洲天然气和电力危机,全球能源价格处于异常高的水平,欧佩克现在限制原油产量的举动可能会吓到华盛顿、布鲁塞尔,甚至北京。”  

此外,今年迄今为止,布伦特原油均价为104美元/桶,欧佩克+政府的财政状况普遍良好。与此同时,上游资本支出也从2020/21年度的糟糕水平有所恢复,一些欧佩克+成员国带头,可能希望在2030年增加市场份额,这是目前推迟减产的另一个原因。  

“不过,反对减产的主要理由是经济方面的。进入冬季,基本面存在太多不确定性。”美银全球研究中心在报告中继续如是表示。 

李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站

原文如下:

OPEC+ Flags Adverse Impact of Volatility

The latest OPEC and non-OPEC ministerial meeting, which was held on September 5, noted the adverse impact of volatility, the decline in liquidity on the current oil market and the need to support the market’s stability and its efficient functioning, OPEC outlined.

According to a statement posted on OPEC’s website following the session, the meeting noted that higher volatility and increased uncertainties require the continuous assessment of market conditions and a readiness to make immediate adjustments to production in different forms, if needed.

“OPEC+ has the commitment, the flexibility, and the means within the existing mechanisms of the declaration of cooperation to deal with these challenges and provide guidance to the market,” OPEC said in the statement.

At the meeting, OPEC+ decided to revert to the production level of August 2022 for the month of October 2022, outlining that the upward adjustment of 100,000 barrels per day to the production level was only intended for the month of September 2022. The group also decided to request the chairman to consider calling for an OPEC+ meeting anytime to address market developments, if necessary, and to hold the 33rd OPEC and non-OPEC ministerial meeting on October 5.

Saudi Arabia  have the joint highest “required production” for October, at 11.004 million barrels per day, according to a production table posted on OPEC’s website.

In a report sent to Rigzone on Monday, prior to OPEC+’s latest meeting, BofA Global Research highlighted that there were strong political, economic, strategic, and financial arguments to avoid implementing a production cut.

“With global energy prices at exceptionally high levels due to the unfolding European gas and power crisis, a move by OPEC+ now to curb crude volumes could spook Washington, Brussels, and even Beijing,” BofA Global Research stated in the report.

“In addition, OPEC+ government coffers are broadly in very good shape after Brent averaged $104 per barrel so far this year. Meanwhile, upstream capex has recovered a bit as well from the abysmal levels of 2020/21, with some OPEC+ members leading the charge and presumably wanting to grow market share into 2030, another reason to hold off on a cut for now,” BofA Global Research added.

“Still, the main arguments against a production cut are economic. There is simply too much uncertainty around fundamentals going into the winter,” BofA Global Research continued.



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