API: 美国2月石油需求同比下降2.5%

   2021-03-24 互联网讯

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核心提示:     据OilGas Journal网站3月22日消息 美国石油学会(API)最新月度统计报告显示,2月份,按国内石油

     据Oil & Gas Journal网站3月22日消息 美国石油学会(API)最新月度统计报告显示,2月份,按国内石油总产量计算,美国石油需求为1930万桶/日,与1月份相比下降1.7%,与2020年2月相比下降2.5%,考虑到2020年COVID-19衰退和冬季相关的中断,这一比例相对强劲。

    以汽车汽油交付量衡量,2月份消费汽油需求为790万桶/日,比1月增长了1.2%,但比2020年2月下降11.6%。过去10年来,2月份汽油需求平均增速比1月份增长3.4%,因此今年1.2%的变化不到历史季节性的一半。因此,最近的大部分驾驶活动可能是出于必要性,而不是可以随意旅行,因为这种旅行可能会产生历史上观察到的更高的季节变化。

    2月,410万桶/日的馏分油需求量比1月增长2.9%,同比增长3.1%。因此,到2021年,馏分油/柴油燃料需求继续超过其COVID-19之前的水平。2月份,DAT iQ行业趋势线显示,现货平板、货车和冷藏车负荷增长强劲。由于运力依然紧张,货运量溢出至联运和铁路行业。

    2月份喷气燃料的供应量为110万桶/日,比1月减少了6%,比2020年2月的水平下降30.4%。这与Flightradar24高频数据一致,该数据显示,与2020年1月和2月的航班相比,数据有所下降。

    2月份,用于电力生产、空间加热、工业应用和船用燃料的剩余燃料油的交付量为28万桶/日,这反映出,1月份季节性大幅增长52.2%,与2020年2月相比,增长88.7%,接近五年期的最高水平。

    2月份,主要用于炼油和石化制造的石脑油、汽油和丙烷/丙烯(其他油)等液体原料的交付量为590万桶/日,同比增长20.7%,为2月份的新高。不过,590万桶/日的季节性下降,较1月份创纪录的650万桶/日有所下降,这可能是由于炼油厂和石化厂因寒潮中断以及2月为短月所致。尽管如此,其他石油占当月美国石油需求总量的30.4%,而2016-2020年,其他石油的平均份额为24.7%。

    王磊 摘译自 Oil & Gas Journal

    原文如下:

    API: US February petroleum demand down 2.5% year-over-year

    In February, US petroleum demand, as measured by total domestic petroleum deliveries, was 19.3 million b/d, according to the latest monthly statistical report from the American Petroleum Institute (API). This reflected decreases of 1.7% from January and 2.5% compared with February 2020 – relatively strong considering the 2020 COVID-19 recession and winter-related disruptions.

    Consumer gasoline demand, measured by motor gasoline deliveries, was 7.9 million b/d in February. This represented an increase of 1.2% from January but an 11.6% decrease compared with February 2020. On average over the past 10 years, gasoline demand growth in the month of February averaged 3.4% m/m over that of January, so the 1.2% m/m change this year was less than half of the historical seasonality. Consequently, much of recent driving activity was likely borne out of necessity, as opposed to discretionary travel that could have produced the higher seasonal variation that has been historically observed.

    In February, distillate deliveries of 4.1 million b/d rose by 2.9% from January and 3.1% y/y. Consequently, distillate / diesel fuel demand continued to exceed its pre-COVID-19 levels so far in 2021. DAT iQ industry trendlines showed strong growth of spot flatbed, van, and reefer truck loads in February. As capacity remained tight, freight volumes spilled into the intermodal and rail sectors.

    Jet fuel deliveries were 1.1 million b/d in February, which was a decrease of 6% from January and 30.4% below the level of February 2020. This was consistent with Flightradar24 high-frequency data that showed a drop versus flights in January and February 2020.

    Deliveries of residual fuel oil, which is used in electric power production, space heating, industrial applications and as a marine bunker fuel, were 0.28 million b/d in February. This reflected sharp seasonal increases of 52.2% from January and 88.7% compared with February 2020 to near the top of the five-year range.

    Deliveries of liquid feedstocks, such as naphtha, gasoil, and propane/propylene (other oils) used primarily in refining and petrochemical manufacturing, were 5.9 million b/d in February. This was an increase of 20.7% y/y and a new high for the month of February. However, the 5.9 million b/d reflected a seasonal decrease from the record 6.5 million b/d in January, likely due to refining and petrochemical plant disruptions with the cold snap as well as February being a short month. Even still, other oils represented 30.4% of total US petroleum demand for the month, compared with its average 24.7% share between 2016 and 2020.



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